It will be very interesting to see what the NHC does with the latest model guidance. Just as the guidance gave up the ghost on the northeast turn (apparently), Alberto seems to me to be shifting that direction. Go figure!
Edit because the advisory is now out, at least in part. Movement now NNE. Tropical storm center located near 25.3n 87.7w at 12/0300z position accurate within 30 nm
present movement toward the north-northeast or 15 degrees at 7 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 1004 mb Max sustained winds 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt.
No change to watches.
7pm CDT position was 25.1 87.8 so I'd hardly call that NNE, but since 4pm CDT it is NNE.
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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