It looks like the Tampa Bay area will finally receive a good rainfall overnight. With the NNE movement of the storm, a wide band of heavy rain should move northeast across the Bay area after midnight.
While I still think this storm may not hold TS strength at landfall, I do notice a burst of convection developing near the center of circulation. It will get sheared off to the northeast, but it may extend the life of Alberto a little while longer. In any case, it matters little where the exact center of Alberto comes ashore. Most of the heavy weather with be experienced in a wide swath south of the center.
-------------------- Ronn Raszetnik - Hazards Geographer
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