July has featured extreme heat across the country and a bevy of tropical systems in the Eastern Pacific, but nothing noteworthy in the Atlantic. That may change in the first part of this week. Some not-so-threatening action is showing up off the U.S. East Coast, and a tropical system may form by tomorrow. A new invest, 97L, has been dubbed for the area of disturbed weather consisting of a weak, strung-out low and some thunderstorms along a dying front. In the linked image that would be the area roughly east of Charleston and south of Hatteras. Further northeast a more impressive low pressure area is likely generating gales and has an area of deep convection--the hurricane center has referred to it as not likely to develop before it reaches cooler water. Usually that means that even if it does 'develop' they'll not pay it much heed. It could be argued that it is a tropical system, but it will probably be mentioned just as before in the outlooks until it is gone regardless of what it does. Maybe one for post-analysis. It is moving out to sea and should be over much cooler water by tonight.
97L may linger off the coast if shortwaves fail to trap it--the jet is far to the north and it is in a bit of a col region. It may nudge out to sea, but early guidance has the 'squashed spider' look that NHC often refers to-it may just hover in place or drift about. There is a good bit of dry air nearby and some shear, so it could very well just sputter and do nothing.
There is a strong wave that can be seen approaching the islands around 60 W on the same image that is undergoing shear and won't do anything for the next couple of days--and models don't deem it likely to in the future. Another strong wave can be seen leaving Africa this morning. The convection with it will probably die as it moves offshore over marginal waters, and maybe reappear further west as it nears the islands. This region doesn't seem ready to do anything yet, and it will likely be another month before much really happens out there.
'Some excellent images of the Atlantic basin have been posted by Weather456 in the Storm Forum .'
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