Yeah, I tend to think it's pretty iffy. That cut-off ULL developing as a result of trough fracture to the NE of Chris is continuing to dig to the southwest and should continue to impinge upon Chris for the foreseeable future. In fact, if this developing ULL slides far enough SW, it could get caught in the flow around the ridge off of the mid-Atlantic states and shadow Chris the entire way, leading to no regenration.
Even if it doesn't, I think Chris has a fair amount of time before it's going to substantially have a shot at redevelopment. Further, all of that dry air in the environment has now been able to enter into the storm's circulation thanks to the strong shear and the decoupling of the system from the surface to aloft, leading to a very stable mid-level environment. Something needs to happen to moisten that up, whether by advection from outside the environment or by repeated small convective bursts associated with Chris itself, to see further development. I don't think either is a given right now.
It's rare to have such a complete change of heart...but that's just the way the weather is playing out. I expect declassification later today from Chris and for the LLC to persist for another 2-3 days as a relatively convective-free system. After that, as it nears Florida and the Gulf, it might have a shot at some redevelopment if the ULL does not shadow the system and the environment is favorable. It lost its train by moving too slowly while northeast of Puerto Rico and the upper environment quickly became much more hostile than anticipated. Sometimes, those are the breaks.
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