I just ran thru the model on http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ and see some interesting things. First of all, the NOGAPS and UKM models carry Chris into the GOM, the UKM shows it dissipating, but the NOGAPS carries it to the NW GOM headed toward Texas. None of the other models show much of Chris, a few showing a small low pressure area fizzling away fast.
It looks like there is a better chance of a much stronger system developing off the Cape Verde Islands. the CMC shows it developing withing 24 hours, and in 72 looks formidable, then drives it across the Atlantic and continues to hold the system. The GFS picks up on it in 72 hours and brings it to the same conclusion. the FSU, NOGAPS, and UKM do not seem to pick up on this feature. I have noticed over the last couple days that each model seems to pick up on something developing, on and off. Any comments about the chances of something developing off the Cape Verde Islands? If memory serves me correctly, Ivan started out about the same way.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 30884
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center