they're giving it a little for free. the recon earlier did show that in spite of the convection being very much suppressed, there are still some winds in the shallow convective bands. keep in mind that when a system gets sheared up, and there isn't a vortex speeding around and stretching out in a surge of low level winds... they can take a while to spin down. considering that we have some decent model evidence suggesting that the upper winds will not be as destructive as time goes on... i wouldn't write the system off until it has been devoid of convection for some time and the surface low has spun down to where it is no longer closed. HF 2114z03august
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