Quote: in tandem to the gulf. the future of chris comes down to whether it can get ahead of the upper low trailing it and into the col and re-establish an anticyclone aloft. if it doesn't the system will remain sheared and weak, or just waste away. if it does, chris remains a threat.
How long can Chris maintain itself as low-level circulation under the sheared conditions, is the big question. Eventually I think it would get ahead of the upper low and reestablish outflow, if it lived long enough... but how long would it take?
Edit: This may be a moot point. I finally was able to get the IR loop to load, and while there is obviously still shear present, Chris is definately already making a comeback. It doesn't have anything on the west side, but the east side is beginning to fill in.
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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