Quote: How long can Chris maintain itself as low-level circulation under the sheared conditions, is the big question. Eventually I think it would get ahead of the upper low and reestablish outflow, if it lived long enough... but how long would it take?
Edit: This may be a moot point. I finally was able to get the IR loop to load, and while there is obviously still shear present, Chris is definately already making a comeback. It doesn't have anything on the west side, but the east side is beginning to fill in.
Actually, I'm not, and haven't seen any shear of the LLCC. That's what is keeping Chris alive...and what NHC is issuing advisories on.
In as much as a Mid/ Upper level Low can spin down to the surface. A Closed Surface Circulation can spin Up.
Last year folks were nit picking TD10's demise. Well TD10 ended up spliting. One circulation moved SW into the Caribbean and the other circulation became Katrina.
Two Things of importance here: Never turn your back on a Tropical System Over Water...
And never say never, when looking at the Weather.
I guess that makes The Tropics...NeverNeverland. No Wait. That's in California.
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