well, if chris is to do more than sputter and puff convection as a weak system.. it has to get to the col. chris has been staying one step ahead of the reaper since getting diced this morning. the next surge of upper nne winds should graze the back edge of chris... could blow off the convective region again, but i don't think it will this time. heading may turn back to the right a little.. looks like it has in the short term at least. it might stay just north of cuba after all. keep an eye on it, texas. the storm either won't get to the western gulf or it will. if it does get there, i don't think a 40-kt system is what you'll have.. likely something a tad bigger. HF 0414z04august
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