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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

dem05
User

Reged: Wed
Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL

Re: Comeback?
Fri Aug 04 2006 12:40 AM

The clipper has cosistently tried and failed to turn this one out like a fish...Not a very good model on this one, but I think confidence is generally running lower than expected for all of them. There hasn't been one singlemodel that has been head on with thisthe whole time, consistent...maybe so, but on target...no.
http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/%7Evigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png

Also, while you are throwing the wild cards out...There will be a break in the ridge. The key question is this, is it gonna be a gap, or will one ridge be south of the other with an impassible break in between. If there is a true gap between the two, Texas will be out of the picture, more of an east or central gulf issue. Exerpt from the Disco at 11PM:

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 280/10... A TOUCH FASTER THAN BEFORE.
A LOW TO MIDDLE-LEVEL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...KEEPING THE MOTION GENERALLY A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST.
SOME ACCELERATION IS ALSO FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE PASSES DIRECTLY SOUTH OF THE CORE OF RIDGE AXIS.
MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE NUDGED A LITTLE SOUTH TONIGHT AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS DISPLACED A LITTLE SOUTHWARD AS WELL.
THIS NEW TRACK IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THE CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS THAT MAINTAIN THE CIRCULATION OF CHRIS.

AFTER THE STORM ENTERS THE GULF OF MEXICO...A LARGE MIDDLE TO UPPER-LEVEL HIGH IS FORECAST OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS HIGH COULD INDUCE A MORE WESTWARD MOTION IN THE LONG-TERM AND THIS IS
REFLECTED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.

Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 04 2006 12:45 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	MikeC	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:40 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	StuckInNO	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:19 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	FreeportGary	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:53 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 05:35 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:09 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Shawn M	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:03 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:14 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	FreeportGary	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:44 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	FreeportGary	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:32 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:08 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Shawn M	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:31 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	nc_tropical_wx79	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:43 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Psyber	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:28 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Tropics Guy	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:34 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Texas Cane Tracker	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:50 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 05:33 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:05 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Cash	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:55 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 05:39 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	allan	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:49 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	doug	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:36 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Cat 5orBust	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:34 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Steve H1	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:40 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	nl	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:47 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:14 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	weather_wise911	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:26 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Texas Cane Tracker	Thu Aug 03 2006 05:37 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:20 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:41 PM
Chris	danielw	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:18 PM
Re: Chris	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:31 PM
Re: Chris	ltpat228	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:53 PM
Re: Chris	allan	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:10 PM
Re: Chris	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:00 PM
Re: Chris	nc_tropical_wx79	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:11 PM
Re: Chris	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:33 PM
Re: Chris	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:22 PM
Re: Chris	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:39 PM
Re: Chris	ltpat228	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:53 PM
Re: Chris	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:59 PM
Re: Chris	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:08 PM
Comeback?	wxman007	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:18 PM
Re: Comeback?	Margie	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:25 PM
Re: Comeback?	FreeportGary	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:34 PM
Re: Comeback?	wxman007	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:40 PM
Re: Comeback?	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:48 PM
Re: Comeback?	Thunderbird12	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:59 PM
Re: Comeback?	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:20 PM
Re: Comeback?	allan	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:26 PM
Re: Comeback?	danielw	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:25 PM
Re: Comeback?	cieldumort	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:09 PM
Re: Comeback?	allan	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:16 PM
Re: Comeback?	dem05	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:24 PM
Re: Comeback?	allan	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:33 PM
Re: Comeback?	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:14 AM
Re: Comeback?	Shawn M	Fri Aug 04 2006 09:14 AM
Re: Comeback?	Lee-Delray	Fri Aug 04 2006 09:58 AM
Re: Comeback?	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:17 AM
Re: Comeback?	bhnole	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:49 PM
Re: Comeback?	madmumbler	Fri Aug 04 2006 06:36 PM
Re: Comeback?	jlauderdal	Fri Aug 04 2006 08:47 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 07:26 PM
Re: Comeback?	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 08:27 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 09:00 PM
Re: Comeback?	Storm Cooper	Fri Aug 04 2006 07:48 PM
Re: Comeback?	Clark	Fri Aug 04 2006 09:02 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:22 PM
Re: Comeback?	Clark	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:24 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:36 PM
Re: Comeback?	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:30 PM
Re: Comeback?	LaVidaCyclone	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:38 PM
Re: Comeback?	HurryCaneForm	Sat Aug 05 2006 12:36 AM
Re: Comeback?	HurryCaneForm	Sat Aug 05 2006 12:41 AM
Re: Comeback?	allan	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:02 PM
Re: Comeback?	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:29 PM
Re: Comeback?	wow	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:20 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 07:59 PM
Re: Comeback?	Manny	Fri Aug 04 2006 04:06 PM
Re: Several days ago	anon	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:36 AM
interesting...	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:57 AM
Re: interesting...	Genesis	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:45 AM
Re: interesting...	Shawn M	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:48 AM
Re: interesting...	doug	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:53 AM
Re: interesting...	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:14 AM
Re: interesting...	scottsvb	Fri Aug 04 2006 11:48 AM
Re: Comeback?	zacros	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:10 AM
Re: Comeback?	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:24 AM
Re: Comeback?	dolfinatic	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:36 AM
Re: Comeback?	Texas Cane Tracker	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:43 AM
Re: Comeback?	allan	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:53 AM
CLP5	danielw	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:46 AM
Re: Comeback?	danielw	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:32 AM
Re: Comeback?	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:40 AM
Re: Comeback?	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:23 AM
Re: Comeback?	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:33 PM
Re: Comeback?	Psyber	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:46 PM
11	Brett	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:53 PM
Re: 11	cieldumort	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:05 PM
Re: 11	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:45 PM
Re: 11	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:01 AM
Re: 11	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:50 AM
Re: 11	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:14 AM
Re: 11	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:01 AM
Re: 11	scottsvb	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:17 AM
Re: 11	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:54 AM
Re: 11	allan	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:57 AM
Re: 11	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:29 AM
RECON	danielw	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:33 AM
Re: RECON	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:46 AM
Re: RECON	dem05	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:02 AM
Re: RECON	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 03:44 AM
Re: RECON	zacros	Fri Aug 04 2006 06:23 AM
Re: RECON	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 06:59 AM
Re: RECON	GuppieGrouper	Fri Aug 04 2006 07:32 AM
Chris' demise on the horizon	Hugh	Fri Aug 04 2006 08:05 AM
Re: Chris' demise on the horizon	javlin	Fri Aug 04 2006 08:15 AM
Re: Chris' demise on the horizon	Colleen A.	Fri Aug 04 2006 10:11 AM
Re: RECON	Psyber	Fri Aug 04 2006 08:05 AM
Re: RECON	Manny	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:39 AM
Re: RECON	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:50 AM
Re: RECON	Manny	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:56 AM
Re: 11	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 04 2006 02:19 AM
Re: 11	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 04 2006 01:15 AM
Re: 11	cieldumort	Fri Aug 04 2006 12:07 AM
WV Imagery	Colleen A.	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:58 PM
Re: 11	javlin	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:32 PM
Re: 11	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:56 PM
Re: Comeback?	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:35 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:44 PM
Re: Comeback?	WeatherNLU	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:31 PM
Re: Comeback?	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:04 PM
Re: Comeback?	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:13 PM
Re: Comeback?	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:44 PM
Re: Comeback?	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:54 PM
Re: Comeback?	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:56 PM
Re: Comeback?	jessiej	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:52 PM
Re: Comeback?	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:37 PM
Re: Comeback?	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:27 PM
Re: Comeback?	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:38 PM
Re: Comeback?	wxman007	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:35 PM
Re: Chris	allan	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:49 PM
Re: Chris	Manny	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:54 PM
Re: Chris	zacros	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:27 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	weather_wise911	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:30 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:44 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:50 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 03 2006 05:15 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	DrChrisHE	Thu Aug 03 2006 03:21 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	dolfinatic	Thu Aug 03 2006 03:56 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 04:01 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Clark	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:33 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:21 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Shawn M	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:27 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	FreeportGary	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:53 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:03 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Camille2Katrina	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:43 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	tpratch	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:54 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Clark	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:50 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:55 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Shawn M	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:16 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Genesis	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:14 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Psyber	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:32 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	SirCane	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:13 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Camille2Katrina	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:51 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Clark	Thu Aug 03 2006 10:55 AM
the new, improved chris	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:21 AM
Re: the new, improved chris	LoisCane	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:49 AM
GRAY UPDATE	Steve H1	Thu Aug 03 2006 11:57 AM
Re: GRAY UPDATE	SirCane	Thu Aug 03 2006 12:01 PM
Re: GRAY UPDATE	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:36 PM
Re:	scottsvb	Thu Aug 03 2006 12:29 PM
Re:	javlin	Thu Aug 03 2006 01:52 PM
Re:	FloydRTurbo	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:17 PM
Re:	scottsvb	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:03 PM
Re:	javlin	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:18 PM
Re:	scottsvb	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:07 PM
Re:	Clark	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:15 PM
Re:	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:28 PM
Re:	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:30 PM
Re:	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:54 PM
Re:	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 03 2006 12:52 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	anon	Thu Aug 03 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 01:28 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	FloydRTurbo	Thu Aug 03 2006 01:40 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	weather_wise911	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:14 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	javlin	Thu Aug 03 2006 01:55 PM
Re: Dry air choking Chris	ElizabethH	Thu Aug 03 2006 02:00 PM
Re:	scottsvb	Thu Aug 03 2006 12:55 PM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:27 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:58 AM
re: 8am update	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:47 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Randrew	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:15 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	danielw	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:19 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Randrew	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:29 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	madmumbler	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:42 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:01 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Thunderbird12	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:01 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:15 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:30 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Rasvar	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:06 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	wereallgonnadie	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:10 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	JOC	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:45 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Steve H1	Thu Aug 03 2006 09:01 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	anon	Thu Aug 03 2006 08:59 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:34 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	GuppieGrouper	Thu Aug 03 2006 06:53 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Hugh	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:04 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	doug	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:30 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	lawgator	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:41 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	Steve H1	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:28 AM
Re: Chris "Splits" Overnight Dramatically Weakens	HURRICANELONNY	Thu Aug 03 2006 07:40 AM

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