I think what has happened the past 2 nights goes as follows. And take it for what it is worth as my opinion is mainly that. It seems to me that when the large mass of convection drifts - or in this case simply develops - so far away from the center, it starts to develop it's own circulation because the main low circulatio is so weak outside of a small area. While not nearly as devloped as Chris' main circulation, the mass of storms does seem to develop into a mesocyclone which is why the convection invariably spins off own its own to the south east.
The difference I see tonight is that the center of Chris has storms finally starting to wrap around ti; albeit in a very small section. If the main convection once again starts to fire over the main center of circulation, then I don't see how it could end up spinning off the way the other clusters of stomrs have.
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