Even if he makes it to North Cuba, it's going to be a rough ride for him. I think this is very telling explanation from the NHC:
THE CYCLONE IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN TWO LARGE UPPER-LEVEL LOWS...AND IS STILL BEING AFFECTED BY MODERATE SHEAR. A POSSIBILITY EXISTS THAT THE SHEAR COULD RELAX IN THE NEAR TERM WHICH WOULD MAINTAIN CHRIS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST...AND THIS IS BASICALLY THE SOLUTION OF THE SHIPS MODEL. MOST OF THE OTHER INTENSITY GUIDANCE SUGGESTS DISSIPATION.
That would also help substantiate Jim Cantore's explanation last night of Chris being sandwiched between two semi-trucks and "running out of interstate", as he so aptly put it.
Chris is not even producing a lot of rain...maybe 2-4 inches with 6" at the most, which is a blessing for those countries that Chris may come into contact with down the road. If he stays on the track he is at now and survives, I believe that Mexico will be dealing with Chris...or what's left of him.
-------------------- You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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