I'm not giving up on this storm yet. Its survived things that should have shredded it. Twice its had its convection totally sliced off and tossed SE, and yet the circulation still survives!
Until this sucker goes inland or ends up as a totally open wave I ain't gonna prog death. Just "by the numbers" it shouldn't be alive NOW - but it is. Those can be the most dangerous storms of all as that sort of "staying power", if they get into the right environment, can turn into real barnburners.
The good news is that if it happens its looking less-and-less likely that it gets any sort of population center.... the ridging appears to be solidly in place to prevent the dreaded north hook into the warm eddy......
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