Quote: Looks really troughy to me, too. Should be a close call for them to decide whether to go with TD or dissipated overnight. I suspect there's some semblance of a non-trofy broad surface circulation still present, however. Given NHC' s tendency to err on the side of caution with Chris, I suspect that they will continue advisories as long as can be remotely justified, as he has had some history of surprising on the upside.
The fact that there is more convection now than earlier today may be a sign that Chris may come back somehow, but wiithout a LLC, it shouldn't be considered a TD. The 5pm advisory indicated that there was a weak west wind somewhere in there and that's why advisories were being maintained. Storms have come back from worse situations, so time will tell.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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