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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

93L organizing
Wed Aug 16 2006 10:31 AM

definitely going to be a recon on 93L today as the low center is finally flaring convection on the western semicircle. it's almost directly over the higher heat content region of the gulf stream. also drifted about as far north as it's going to, as the shortwave is currently bypassing it and high pressure/northerly deep layer steering should start to influence it soon. the convective flare further south along the trough... where the other low center used to be more or less.. is robbing the inflow of 93L a tad, but is displaced far enough away that it more likely than not will just be a feeder band later on.
recon will probably result in classification of tropical depression 4 this afternoon. surface obs and structure don't suggest anything more than maybe a 25 kt/ 1014 mb depression right now. dependent on how well the convection holds up it has a chance of being tropical storm debby over the next day or so. the 5:30 TWO is by franklin and typically gloomy on the long term prospects.. an established system would be forced south/southwestward under increasing northerly shear during the next few days. chances of this thing becoming well-organized aren't that good during the next few. it may end up ashore somewhere between daytona and wilmington during the next couple days as well.
the latest mcc is drifting out into the gulf today. there are pre-existing surface boundaries out there from the last one, and a good bit of mid-level vorticity being injected into the region... have to see if the stuff flares back up today. very miniscule chances of anything unless there is persistent convection.
waves in the deep tropics look flat and dead today. itcz is in its normal position for this time of year. the lows out east of bermuda are weak and disorganized. nothing else on the scene.
HF 1431z16august

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Two Systems to Watch	MikeC	Wed Aug 16 2006 10:31 AM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	Cat 5orBust	Tue Aug 15 2006 06:31 PM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	Lee-Delray	Tue Aug 15 2006 07:50 AM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	allan	Tue Aug 15 2006 09:16 AM
Model Updates	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:04 AM
Re: Model Updates	Old Sailor	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:51 AM
Re: Model Updates	Lee-Delray	Tue Aug 15 2006 11:33 AM
Re: Model Updates	nc_tropical_wx79	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:00 PM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 15 2006 08:47 AM
Models and the TWO	dem05	Mon Aug 14 2006 12:01 AM
Re: Models and the TWO	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 14 2006 09:21 AM
Re: Models and the TWO	Black Pearl	Mon Aug 14 2006 09:37 AM
Re: Models and the TWO	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 14 2006 10:41 AM
Re: Models and the TWO	Nateball	Mon Aug 14 2006 11:24 AM
94L	Brad in Miami	Mon Aug 14 2006 11:49 AM
92-94	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 14 2006 12:49 PM
Re: 92-94	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 14 2006 02:59 PM
Re: 92-94	cieldumort	Mon Aug 14 2006 03:48 PM
Re: 92-94	scottsvb	Mon Aug 14 2006 05:49 PM
Re: 92-94	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:45 AM
Re: 92-94	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 15 2006 03:12 AM
Re: 92-94	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 03:50 AM
Re: 92-94	scottsvb	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:06 PM
Re: 92-94	nc_tropical_wx79	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:36 PM
Re: 92-94	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:04 PM
Re: 92-94	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:02 PM
Re: 92-94	nc_tropical_wx79	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:05 PM
93;/gulf	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 15 2006 03:00 PM
Re: 93;/gulf	Beaumont, TX	Tue Aug 15 2006 08:14 PM
Re: 93;/gulf	Ron Basso	Tue Aug 15 2006 03:19 PM
Re: 93;/gulf	rmbjoe1954	Tue Aug 15 2006 03:23 PM
Re: Azores	MapMaster	Tue Aug 15 2006 04:17 PM
Re: Azores	Shawn M	Tue Aug 15 2006 04:39 PM
Re: Azores	stormchasersince1976	Tue Aug 15 2006 05:13 PM
Re: READ THE UPDATE	HURRICANELONNY	Tue Aug 15 2006 05:24 PM
Re: READ THE UPDATE	Lee-Delray	Tue Aug 15 2006 05:37 PM
Re: READ THE UPDATE	weather_wise911	Tue Aug 15 2006 06:09 PM
Re: READ THE UPDATE	stormchasersince1976	Tue Aug 15 2006 06:12 PM
Re: READ THE UPDATE	Beaumont, TX	Tue Aug 15 2006 08:21 PM
95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:29 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:42 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:47 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 10:56 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	Genesis	Tue Aug 15 2006 11:20 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 01:16 AM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 01:38 AM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	Goosus	Wed Aug 16 2006 03:06 AM
*other	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 02:08 AM
Re: *other	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 03:07 AM
Re: *other	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:28 AM
Re: *other	GuppieGrouper	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:12 AM
Re: *other	MapMaster	Wed Aug 16 2006 09:30 AM
93L organizing	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 10:31 AM
Re: 93L organizing	BillD	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:03 PM
Re: Question	MapMaster	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:15 PM
Re: Question	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:24 PM
Re: Question	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 06:13 PM
Re: TD criteria	MapMaster	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:39 PM
Re: TD criteria	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 05:10 PM
Re: TD criteria	weather_wise911	Wed Aug 16 2006 07:12 PM
Re: TD criteria	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 07:42 PM
Re: TD criteria	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:08 PM
Re: TD criteria	Hugh	Wed Aug 16 2006 07:22 PM
93L	danielw	Wed Aug 16 2006 07:34 PM
Re: 93L	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 07:50 PM
Re: 93L	Louiss	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:39 PM
Re: 93L	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 11:07 PM
Re: 93L	danielw	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:03 PM
Re: 93L	dem05	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:12 PM
Re: 93L	Clark	Wed Aug 16 2006 08:21 PM
utterly weird	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 11:41 PM
Re: utterly weird	cieldumort	Thu Aug 17 2006 05:31 AM
Re: utterly weird	GuppieGrouper	Thu Aug 17 2006 05:40 AM
Re: utterly weird	cieldumort	Thu Aug 17 2006 06:01 AM
Re: utterly weird	cieldumort	Thu Aug 17 2006 04:04 AM
Re: utterly weird	wereallgonnadie	Wed Aug 16 2006 11:46 PM
Re: TD criteria	HurryCaneForm	Wed Aug 16 2006 06:02 PM
Re: TD criteria	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 06:16 PM
Re: 93L organizing	Clark	Wed Aug 16 2006 04:11 PM
Re: 93L organizing	danielw	Wed Aug 16 2006 11:28 AM
Re: 93L organizing	cieldumort	Wed Aug 16 2006 01:31 PM
93L QuikScat	Brad in Miami	Wed Aug 16 2006 01:47 PM
Re: 93L QuikScat	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 01:53 PM
Re: 95L (aka "GOM Blob") Now Up on NRL Site	HanKFranK	Wed Aug 16 2006 12:52 AM
Re: Meanwhile	MapMaster	Tue Aug 15 2006 06:04 PM
Re: Azores	HurryCaneForm	Tue Aug 15 2006 05:18 PM
Re: 92-94	nc_tropical_wx79	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:57 PM
Re: 92-94	allan	Tue Aug 15 2006 01:05 PM
93L	Colleen A.	Tue Aug 15 2006 09:01 AM
Re: 92-94	Solak	Tue Aug 15 2006 07:03 AM
Re: 92-94	cieldumort	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:10 PM
Re: 92-94	wereallgonnadie	Tue Aug 15 2006 07:48 AM
Re: 92-94	amonty	Mon Aug 14 2006 08:05 PM
Re: 92-94	scottsvb	Mon Aug 14 2006 08:51 PM
Re: 92-94	HurryCaneForm	Mon Aug 14 2006 09:01 PM
Re: 92-94	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:07 AM
Re: 92-94	scottsvb	Tue Aug 15 2006 12:57 AM
Re: 92-94	HanKFranK	Tue Aug 15 2006 02:23 AM
Re: 92-94	dem05	Mon Aug 14 2006 06:18 PM
Re: 92-94	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 14 2006 07:57 PM
Re: 92-94	HurryCaneForm	Mon Aug 14 2006 01:23 PM
Re: 92-94	scottsvb	Mon Aug 14 2006 02:40 PM
Re: Models and the TWO	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 14 2006 09:11 AM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	danielw	Sun Aug 13 2006 09:58 PM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	ltpat228	Sun Aug 13 2006 09:31 PM
Re: Two Systems to Watch	danielw	Sun Aug 13 2006 10:59 PM

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