Jax long-range ... You see, even tonight, after it's taken two full days of beating from shear on the order of >35knots(!), and has been much diminished from it's couple of earlier peaks where it even displayed some hints of healthy antci-cyclonic outflow, while undergoing some very deep convective pulses... even after all of that has come and past and now it is even less of an entity .. In no way, shape, or form can I bring myself to call that "unorganized convection" .. to do so brings up the overwhelming desire to sneeze the
Those weak squalls are just now starting to put some rain down on northeastern Florida. Will be *very* interesting to start being able to read some reports from official anemometers, home-based weather stations, tv stations, etc., as to just how strong the winds are "MAX. sustained" in some of them. (And, these would also be bands furthest from the center, for now, anyway) We already know that winds have been running up to a max. sustained of between 18, to even up to 30MPH, when 93 has been at it's strongest, outside of the heaviest squalls, based on various buoys, ships and scats.
I don't know. It seems that 2006 is the year for very marginal TCs, so far.. but "marginal" also in the sense that in some years past, these would have been called. But, not this year. So, unless 93 looks like a hurricane within the next couple of days, I guess we can count on it not getting a name and having it fly into some tropical footnote, along with the unnamed STS that formed along the same stationary front as Beryl, etc.