Debby was probably Debby as early as 12-18 hours ago, but is TD Debby this late night, IMHO. Reading the Discussion, the arguments which have been made were quite compelling, of course, but would have been far more applicable much earlier - not now.
In any event, Debby just made history in my book - next to Hermine - not Hermine to be sure, but close-enough.
Ah, heck. Enough of my whining. Looks like Debby is steadily regaining her footing, so a tip of the hat to NHC for doing what they do best (Tropical Cyclones). Simply wish they would have just upgraded her when there was so much more meat on her bones, and the stats which they cited at 11p were also very current.
Looking ahead with Debby is what I, we, all should be doing now. Official forecasts have her as a minimal hurricane by the end of the coming weekend, and NHC has expressed some concern that she may miss her ride, and proceed west, not northwest. To quote, because this is so very important to watch for:
"THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK
WAS SHIFTED WESTWARD...BUT NOT AS FAR WEST AS THE GUNA...GUNS...AND
CONU CONSENSUS MODELS. AS MENTIONED IN LAST NIGHT'S DISCUSSION...
IF DEBBY DOESN'T REACH 20-25N LATITUDE IN 72-96 HOURS... THEN A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND FORECAST WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
WILL BYPASS THE CYCLONE."
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