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Eresto Staying out to Sea. 99L is a low development chance (20%) system approaching the eastern Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Nate) , Major: 330 (Maria) Florida - Any: 340 (Irma) Major: 340 (Irma)
42.0N 43.2W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Ne at 16 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: 97L
      Thu Aug 24 2006 11:51 AM

yeah, local.. i'd think that would sell it is a closed system. the latest TWO doesn't indicate any changes to the nhc thinking or acknowledge these obs... so i guess they're waiting on recon.
visibles... what looked like it might have been part of an llc this morning is out in front just a tad, as noted by steve h. right around 12.5/61.5. looks like it is barely closed. latest obs out of grenada are also light southwest winds. duh, it's closed. watch, recon will get there and it might have opened back up. that'd be the day. we've had a 30kt sfc ob from st. lucia... this thing is definitely t.d. 5 and possibly also tropical storm ernesto.
franklin is at the nhc helm right now. it'll have to jump through all of his hoops to get the nod, and he's probably the most conservative guy that does advisories, with the most exhaustive criteria.
HF 1551z24august

yeah, there aren't just one or two reports of westerly winds like normal, but more like four or five stations that have reported them. all have been from west to south.. none reporting nw winds and that may be the only hang up. of course, now that the center is out in front a bit it may not have enough "organized deep convection." should get a vortex message within a couple hours, if we're to get one. -HF

Edited by HanKFranK (Thu Aug 24 2006 12:43 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 24 2006 11:51 AM
. * * Re: 97L Cat 5orBust   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:20 AM
. * * Re: 97L FloydRTurbo   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:24 AM
. * * Re: 97L HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:04 AM
. * * Re: 97L Local   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:37 AM
. * * Re: 97L HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 11:51 AM
. * * Re: 97L anon tiger   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:59 PM
. * * Re: 97L anon tiger   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:04 PM
. * * Re: 97L pcola   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:11 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:47 PM
. * * Re: 97L madmumbler   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:06 PM
. * * Re: 97L Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:09 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:14 PM
. * * Re: 97L Tony Cristaldi   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:27 PM
. * * Re: 97L HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:12 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:22 PM
. * * Re: 97L cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:28 PM
. * * Re: 97L Clark   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:35 PM
. * * Re: 97L Tony Cristaldi   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:16 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:34 PM
. * * Re: 97L twizted sizter   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:38 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:45 PM
. * * RECON danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:54 PM
. * * Re: 97L NONAME   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:39 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:51 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:58 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:03 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:36 PM
. * * Re: 97L danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:56 PM
. * * RECON danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:05 PM
. * * Re: RECON Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:09 PM
. * * Re: 97L cwia   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:00 PM
. * * Re: 97L NewWatcher   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:47 PM
. * * Re: 97L Beach   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:45 PM
. * * Re: 97L Beach   Thu Aug 24 2006 11:42 AM
. * * Re: 97L Steve H1   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:16 AM
. * * Re: 97L Mike Gaynor   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:23 AM
. * * Re: 97L cwia   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:00 AM
. * * Re: 97L cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:36 AM
. * * Re: 97L Cat 5orBust   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:10 PM
. * * Re: 97L wereallgonnadie   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 97L madmumbler   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Forums Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Forums Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Forums Beaumont, TX   Wed Aug 23 2006 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Forums Colleen A.   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Forums madmumbler   Wed Aug 23 2006 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Forums dem05   Wed Aug 23 2006 10:19 PM
. * * Re: 97L dem05   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:32 PM
. * * Re: 97L sara33   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:46 PM
. * * Re: 97L Ron Basso   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:10 PM
. * * Re: 97L madmumbler   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:15 PM
. * * Re: 97L madmumbler   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:04 PM
. * * Re: 97L Ron Basso   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:22 PM
. * * Re: 97L madmumbler   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:01 PM
. * * Re: 97L Ron Basso   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:16 PM
. * * Re: 97L Steve H1   Wed Aug 23 2006 10:33 PM
. * * Re: 97L Genesis   Wed Aug 23 2006 11:25 PM
. * * Re: 97L MapMaster   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:33 AM
. * * deb/97 HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 12:30 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 01:44 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 RedingtonBeachGuy   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:10 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 SirCane   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:03 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 Black Pearl   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:14 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 dem05   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:28 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:07 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 GuppieGrouper   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:55 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 EugeneF   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:25 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 Bloodstar   Thu Aug 24 2006 02:03 AM
. * * Re: deb/97 cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:43 AM
. * * Re: 97L wereallgonnadie   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:26 PM
. * * Re: 97L Ron Basso   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:45 PM
. * * Re: 97L Mike Gaynor   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:19 PM
. * * Re: 97L Hugh   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic meto23   Wed Aug 23 2006 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic HanKFranK   Wed Aug 23 2006 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic Clark   Wed Aug 23 2006 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic Ed in Va   Wed Aug 23 2006 02:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Debby Forms in East Atlantic FloydRTurbo   Wed Aug 23 2006 02:27 PM
. * * Re: 97L Cat 5orBust   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:51 AM
. * * Re: 97L Cat 5orBust   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:49 AM
. * * Re: 97L SirCane   Wed Aug 23 2006 08:50 AM
. * * Re: 97L Psyber   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:21 AM
. * * Re: 97L pcola   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:27 AM
. * * Re: 97L parrishNfl   Wed Aug 23 2006 03:45 PM
. * * Re: 97L Clark   Wed Aug 23 2006 03:59 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 23 2006 04:32 PM
. * * Re: 97L meto23   Wed Aug 23 2006 04:38 PM
. * * Re: 97L SirCane   Wed Aug 23 2006 06:28 PM
. * * Re: 97L Hugh   Wed Aug 23 2006 06:50 PM
. * * Re: 97L FloydRTurbo   Wed Aug 23 2006 07:36 PM
. * * Re: 97L Hugh   Wed Aug 23 2006 07:50 PM
. * * Re: 97L EDU   Wed Aug 23 2006 07:17 PM
. * * Re: 97L FloydRTurbo   Wed Aug 23 2006 06:49 PM
. * * Re: 97L Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 23 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: 97L HURRICANELONNY   Wed Aug 23 2006 05:29 PM
. * * Re: 97L nl   Wed Aug 23 2006 09:49 AM

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