While we are discussing two cape verde-type storms (one truly cape verde, the other you have to concede that the mid-level low developed long before reaching the Lesser Antilles) - nice low rolling off of Africa tonight - avn loop eastern Atlantic should provide a fantastic opportunity for NAMMA.
Back right on to TD5 - Given it's current gradual slowing of forward speed and improving appearance, coupled with the ull to it's west pulling back a bit, at this time I would not be entirely surprised to see an outflow channel show up - perhaps not entirely unlike what we saw with early Katrina. Such a scenario could result in some bombing over the deeply warm central and western Caribbean over the weekend.
However, if the ULL does not result in a favorable outflow channel, or some other outflow channel never sets up somehow, I think Five's greater detractors will be shear and perhaps land - and less so the dry air, as we have seen the region moisten up dramatically over the past week.
GOM disturbances - You know, Mean Sea-Level Pressures in the region keep going lower and lower. Convection has been flaring up again and again and again, although largely due to favorable upper-level diffluent flow. Given the very close proximity to land and impressive amount of convection, should anything start to really rotate even remotely near the surface, I suspect we would see a recon mission put together fairly quickly.
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