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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

TampaRand
Weather Hobbyist

Reged: Fri
Posts: 76
Loc: Tampa FL

Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean
Fri Aug 25 2006 10:20 AM

Quote:

Guys I have been looking at the speeds of these storms and they seem to be to fast for the storm to do anything serious.. How big a role does the speed of the storm play in its intensity... I remember Rita was between 10-12 mph the whole time it was a cane.. This thing is hauling ass at 20 mph. Does tropical storm normally move at this speed, is this one of the reasons why we have seen such few canes, since most serious tropical storms I have tracked this year have had a speed of atleast 15 mph.

It plays a big role.The faster the forward speed the less time to intensify,but this system is going to slow up. The bigger and more organized it gets,means it requires more water to "feed" on and the system becomes more cumbersome. It was at 17kts.,but that is going to go downwards.

Incidentally, I also see closed circulation and the Dvorak numbers indicate to me this is a Tropical Storm. I'm still not in love with the models, yet. I do see some retrograde in the ridge that opens the the door for more Northwesterly, rather than Westerly movement. The BAM models, A98E, are not to be trusted (JMO) and NHC is averaging with the GFDL so far to the North, but I'm a big believer in the GFDL even though it does have problems with shearing wind. Now if the the mid-upper level shear recedes as well, and I think it will with the recession of the ridge, we get a substantial hurricane, but maybe weaked by transitioning over Cuba. Now is there a recurvature indicated towards the Northern Gulf Coast? Depends on the steering I think. Interested to see the 11 am data returns.

--------------------
Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net

Edited by TampaRand (Fri Aug 25 2006 10:21 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Cat 5orBust	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:53 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	willy	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:07 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	MG / Riviera Maya, Mexico	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	dem05	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:04 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Fri Aug 25 2006 05:22 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:46 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Aug 25 2006 06:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Fri Aug 25 2006 06:15 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:01 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:06 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HURRICANELONNY	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:36 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SirCane	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:55 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	samiam	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:09 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	EugeneF	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:21 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:39 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:57 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:08 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:17 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:58 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	saluki	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	CoalCracker	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	dem05	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:35 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Manny	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:00 PM
hang on..	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
Re: hang on..	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:44 PM
Re: hang on..	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:40 PM
Re: hang on..	Hawkeyewx	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:36 PM
Re: hang on..	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:11 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	heynow	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	BigPlay	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:19 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:05 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	doug	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HCW	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	LisaC	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:51 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	madmumbler	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	NewWatcher	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	CoalCracker	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:25 PM
new thread	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	abyrd	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	johnnyg	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	anon tiger	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:33 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:23 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	NewWatcher	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:31 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	native	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:36 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:23 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	EugeneF	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:01 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	ElizabethH	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:11 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:28 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:38 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:42 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Tropics Guy	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:49 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:07 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:58 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	DaViking	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:44 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	jbmusic	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:41 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Trooper	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:51 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beach	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:18 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:24 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:22 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:27 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:29 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	anon tiger	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:06 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lsr1166	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:32 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:37 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:27 AM
contingency three	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:56 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:03 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 AM
RECON	danielw	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:51 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	score42288	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Mike Gaynor	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:39 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:35 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SirCane	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:18 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
Let's get ready	Sea Mule	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
Re: Let's get ready	SebastianLou	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:09 PM
Re: Let's get ready	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:55 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:16 PM
Re: Let's get ready	SebastianLou	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:28 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Mike Gaynor	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:39 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:42 PM
Re: Let's get ready	dem05	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:58 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:19 PM
Re: Let's get ready	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:33 PM
5 and Debby	Clark	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:26 PM
Re: Let's get ready	dem05	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:50 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 10:55 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:41 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:39 PM
Re: Let's get ready	hurricaneguy	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:59 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:01 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Cat 5orBust	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	twizted sizter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:12 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
RECCO	drunkatgt	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:24 PM
Re: RECCO	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:26 PM
Re: RECCO	EugeneF	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:49 PM
five	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:07 PM
Re: RECCO	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:57 PM
Re: RECCO	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:00 PM
Re: RECCO	hurricaneguy	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:05 PM
Re: RECCO	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:08 PM
Re: CMC Loop	EugeneF	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:14 PM
Re: CMC Loop	nc_tropical_wx79	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:04 PM
Re: CMC Loop	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:08 PM
Re: CMC Loop	Rich B	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:02 PM
Re: RECCO	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:56 PM
Re: RECCO	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:01 PM
Re: RECCO	cieldumort	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
Re: RECCO	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:33 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	native	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	FloydRTurbo	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:22 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	cieldumort	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	HURRICANELONNY	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Steve H1	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:53 PM

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