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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean
Fri Aug 25 2006 11:30 AM

that is definitely a tropical storm. if it was almost one yesterday when recon and sfc obs showed it nearly as so, and the organization improved as much as it did last night (i.e., the center stayed under a cdo with improved banding features)... what more evidence do you need? i'm not sure if they're trying to prevent a friday dip in the energy markets or what, by not naming it until there is unequivocal proof from recon.
that said, the system seems to be encountering somewhat stronger shear, and may become a tad more disorganized today. from its looks, as well as the continued slow separation of the upper low to its nw from the TUTT... it continues to look like the model scenarios that build ridging along the forecast track and over the system in a day or two are going to be right.
the system has continued to slow down and is now at such a speed where it could survive a decent amount of shear. should get enough to keep it from strengthening much for the next day or so. spitting out some convective boundaries, so the overall satellite appearance may deteriorate today if the convection doesn't flare back like it was last night. assuming the shear lets up after a day or maybe 36hr, land masses become the major impediment to strengthening.
speaking of which, jamaica is about 48hr out along the forecast track. how come no watches up?
long term.. the models have sort of flipped except for the gfdl.. stll way to the right with a strong system and little ridging. nhc has the forecast track now implicitly aimed at louisiana. that's a fair compromise.. where a stronger system would be more to the right, and a weaker one more to the left.
if t.d. 5 becomes the hurricane ernesto we fear it will, should be arriving on our shores thursday-saturday next week... front end of labor day weekend.
HF 1530z25august
FYI, anybody see the tornado warnings in NYC? freaky.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Cat 5orBust	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:53 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	willy	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:07 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	MG / Riviera Maya, Mexico	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	dem05	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:04 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	cieldumort	Fri Aug 25 2006 05:22 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:46 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	GuppieGrouper	Fri Aug 25 2006 06:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Fri Aug 25 2006 06:15 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:01 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:06 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HURRICANELONNY	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:36 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SirCane	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:55 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	samiam	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:09 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	EugeneF	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:21 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:39 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:57 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:08 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:17 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:58 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	saluki	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	CoalCracker	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	dem05	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:54 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:35 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Manny	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:00 PM
hang on..	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
Re: hang on..	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:44 PM
Re: hang on..	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:40 PM
Re: hang on..	Hawkeyewx	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:36 PM
Re: hang on..	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:11 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	heynow	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	BigPlay	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:19 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:05 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	doug	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HCW	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	LisaC	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Clark	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:51 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	madmumbler	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	NewWatcher	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	CoalCracker	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:25 PM
new thread	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	abyrd	Fri Aug 25 2006 03:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	johnnyg	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	anon tiger	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:33 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	RevUp	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:38 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:23 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	NewWatcher	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	amonty	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:31 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	native	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:36 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:23 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	EugeneF	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:01 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	ElizabethH	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:11 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	TampaRand	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:28 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:38 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNLU	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:42 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Tropics Guy	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:49 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Thunderbird12	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:07 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:58 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:30 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Steve H1	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	DaViking	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:44 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	jbmusic	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:41 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Trooper	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:51 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beach	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	pcola	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:18 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	hurricaneguy	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:24 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:22 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Beaumont, TX	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:27 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	nl	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:29 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	anon tiger	Fri Aug 25 2006 11:06 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lsr1166	Fri Aug 25 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Lee-Delray	Fri Aug 25 2006 09:32 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:37 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 25 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SebastianLou	Fri Aug 25 2006 08:27 AM
contingency three	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HanKFranK	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:56 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Fri Aug 25 2006 01:03 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 AM
RECON	danielw	Fri Aug 25 2006 12:51 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	score42288	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Mike Gaynor	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:39 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	HurryCaneForm	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:35 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	SirCane	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:18 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
Let's get ready	Sea Mule	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
Re: Let's get ready	SebastianLou	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:09 PM
Re: Let's get ready	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:55 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:16 PM
Re: Let's get ready	SebastianLou	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:28 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Mike Gaynor	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:39 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:42 PM
Re: Let's get ready	dem05	Thu Aug 24 2006 08:58 PM
Re: Let's get ready	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:19 PM
Re: Let's get ready	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:33 PM
5 and Debby	Clark	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:26 PM
Re: Let's get ready	dem05	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:50 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 10:55 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 09:41 PM
Re: Let's get ready	Beaumont, TX	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:39 PM
Re: Let's get ready	hurricaneguy	Thu Aug 24 2006 11:59 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean	Hugh	Thu Aug 24 2006 07:01 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Cat 5orBust	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	twizted sizter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:12 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
RECCO	drunkatgt	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:24 PM
Re: RECCO	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:26 PM
Re: RECCO	EugeneF	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:49 PM
five	HanKFranK	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:07 PM
Re: RECCO	amonty	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:57 PM
Re: RECCO	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:00 PM
Re: RECCO	hurricaneguy	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:05 PM
Re: RECCO	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:08 PM
Re: CMC Loop	EugeneF	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:14 PM
Re: CMC Loop	nc_tropical_wx79	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:04 PM
Re: CMC Loop	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:08 PM
Re: CMC Loop	Rich B	Thu Aug 24 2006 06:02 PM
Re: RECCO	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:56 PM
Re: RECCO	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 05:01 PM
Re: RECCO	cieldumort	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
Re: RECCO	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Hurricane Fredrick 1979	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:33 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	native	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	FloydRTurbo	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:22 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	pcola	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:27 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	johnnyg	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	cieldumort	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	HURRICANELONNY	Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean	Steve H1	Thu Aug 24 2006 03:53 PM

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