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#TD2 Now Entering SW Bay of Campeche. Tropical Storm Watches & Warnings Possible Tonight.
Number of days since last Hurricane Landfall in US: 232 (Sandy), in Florida: 2794 (Wilma)
Td#2
ADV#6 5:00 pm EDT
18.3N 91.9W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 10 mph
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TampaRand
Weather Hobbyist


Reged: Fri
Posts: 76
Loc: Tampa FL
Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean
      Fri Aug 25 2006 12:24 PM

Right on the money about the conservatism being shown by NHC. I think they want to have all the duckies lined up regarding where the center is. Finding the center of circulation is critical to good modeling for initialization. That is reflected in their cautiousness. Some of the models may be skewed due to that. All may want to re-initialize after the next recon, which will be critical. I was checking some of the NCEP Means at 192 hours and I see some movement of the ridging eastwardly and northerly after the passing of the trof in about 72 hours. If that does happen I could see some recurvature around the ridge.

--------------------
Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 25 2006 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Cat 5orBust   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean willy   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean TampaRand   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean MG / Riviera Maya, Mexico   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean dem05   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean cieldumort   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean scottsvb   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean cieldumort   Fri Aug 25 2006 05:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean GuppieGrouper   Fri Aug 25 2006 06:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hugh   Fri Aug 25 2006 06:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 25 2006 07:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hugh   Fri Aug 25 2006 07:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HURRICANELONNY   Fri Aug 25 2006 07:36 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean SirCane   Fri Aug 25 2006 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Thunderbird12   Fri Aug 25 2006 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean samiam   Fri Aug 25 2006 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean TampaRand   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean EugeneF   Fri Aug 25 2006 09:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean SebastianLou   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Clark   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:08 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Clark   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean saluki   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean CoalCracker   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean dem05   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Clark   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean pcola   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Thunderbird12   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNut   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Steve H1   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean RevUp   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Manny   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean RevUp   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:00 PM
. * * hang on.. HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
. * * Re: hang on.. RevUp   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:44 PM
. * * Re: hang on.. TampaRand   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:40 PM
. * * Re: hang on.. Hawkeyewx   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:36 PM
. * * Re: hang on.. nl   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean hurricaneguy   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean heynow   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean BigPlay   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean pcola   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean doug   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HurryCaneForm   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HCW   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean LisaC   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Clark   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean madmumbler   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean NewWatcher   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean CoalCracker   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Ed in Va   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:25 PM
. * * new thread HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean abyrd   Fri Aug 25 2006 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean johnnyg   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean anon tiger   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean RevUp   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean RevUp   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNut   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean NewWatcher   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean amonty   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean native   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Lee-Delray   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean scottsvb   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean EugeneF   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean nl   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean pcola   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean ElizabethH   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean TampaRand   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean scottsvb   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean scottsvb   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean WeatherNLU   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Tropics Guy   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Thunderbird12   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Steve H1   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Steve H1   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean DaViking   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean hurricaneguy   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean jbmusic   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Storm Trooper   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Beach   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean pcola   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean hurricaneguy   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Ed in Va   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean nl   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean anon tiger   Fri Aug 25 2006 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Lsr1166   Fri Aug 25 2006 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Lee-Delray   Fri Aug 25 2006 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean SebastianLou   Fri Aug 25 2006 08:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 25 2006 07:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean SebastianLou   Fri Aug 25 2006 08:27 AM
. * * contingency three HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 02:17 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HanKFranK   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HurryCaneForm   Fri Aug 25 2006 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:48 AM
. * * RECON danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 25 2006 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean score42288   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Mike Gaynor   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean HurryCaneForm   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean SirCane   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hugh   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
. * * Let's get ready Sea Mule   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready SebastianLou   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready SebastianLou   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready Mike Gaynor   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready dem05   Thu Aug 24 2006 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:33 PM
. * * 5 and Debby Clark   Thu Aug 24 2006 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready dem05   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready Hugh   Thu Aug 24 2006 10:55 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready Hugh   Thu Aug 24 2006 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready Beaumont, TX   Thu Aug 24 2006 11:39 PM
. * * Re: Let's get ready hurricaneguy   Thu Aug 24 2006 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms in Eastern Caribbean Hugh   Thu Aug 24 2006 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Cat 5orBust   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean twizted sizter   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean amonty   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:14 PM
. * * RECCO drunkatgt   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:24 PM
. * * Re: RECCO amonty   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:26 PM
. * * Re: RECCO EugeneF   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:49 PM
. * * five HanKFranK   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:07 PM
. * * Re: RECCO amonty   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:57 PM
. * * Re: RECCO johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:00 PM
. * * Re: RECCO hurricaneguy   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:05 PM
. * * Re: RECCO johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:08 PM
. * * Re: CMC Loop EugeneF   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:14 PM
. * * Re: CMC Loop nc_tropical_wx79   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:04 PM
. * * Re: CMC Loop pcola   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:08 PM
. * * Re: CMC Loop Rich B   Thu Aug 24 2006 06:02 PM
. * * Re: RECCO pcola   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:56 PM
. * * Re: RECCO Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 05:01 PM
. * * Re: RECCO cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: RECCO Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean native   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean FloydRTurbo   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean pcola   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean johnnyg   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean cieldumort   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean HURRICANELONNY   Thu Aug 24 2006 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Five Forms East of the Caribbean Steve H1   Thu Aug 24 2006 03:53 PM

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