I have seen a history of a weak tropical system hitting cuba and then reforming on the other side of Cuba coming back stronger than it was. If a CAT 3 hit Cuba it would bust it down to CAT 1. If a tropcial storm hit cuba and the center of circulation survived, it would not be any different than the diurnal fluctuations. Never, ever, depend on the islands to prevent a storm from affecting the mainland. There is not enough land mass if the other factors are in place for a strong storm. The atmosphere over Florida has been steadily getting more and more ready and we already know that the gulf is warm enough. We have seen recent history of violent underestimated storms: Ivan, Charley, Jeanne, Wilma and last but not least, Rita and Katrina. This is no time to panic, nor to minimize the possible danger. We have a few more days to prepare if we live anywhere on the Gulf Coast of the mainland. Use this anxiety and energy to go through your actual supplies, make a list of the things that you wish you had done the last time you were effected(mine was running out of coffee before the power came back on) Thanks to a neighbor who was prepared, we got coffee. I now have two Thermos bottles! If your housing is not adequate for storms, figure out where you are going to go, make reservations now if you have decided a hotel or motel. Reservations can be cancelled! If your car needs servicing now would be the time to get it done. If you take prescription medications, now is the time to ask for refills. At the 25 hours mark they will be shutting down mainframes and ATMS will be going off line. Draw water for flushing toilets in easy to carry bottles. Water can be used for many things after the threat is over. Pick up your yard furniture now and cover your swimming pool while it is sunny. You can have more swimming after the storm, with fewer pieces of debris to clean out. Toilet Paper and paper towels are excellent things to have on hand in case you can not get to the store in the first few days after the storm. I personally live in an area where if one tree goes down across the street I will not be able to leave my street until it is cleared out. If no tree goes down, I have two exits which both tend to flood in a flash flood. My car can not pass until it drains away.These are things to think about if you have just moved to Florida from a dry climate. Everyone who has been in Central Florida for one year will recognize these issues.
-------------------- God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.
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