Quote: I have seen a history of a weak tropical system hitting cuba and then reforming on the other side of Cuba coming back stronger than it was. If a CAT 3 hit Cuba it would bust it down to CAT 1. If a tropcial storm hit cuba and the center of circulation survived, it would not be any different than the diurnal fluctuations. Never, ever, depend on the islands to prevent a storm from affecting the mainland.
I am aware of what you stated above however the present track is better for Florida as opposed to one whereby it clipped the west side of Cuba and stayed at a Cat. 2 when it entered the Gulf. Lyons stated that he thought it is actually a tropical storm right now due to being close to Haiti. If it continues at a NW direction and stays in Cuba for a while and has to go through those mountains, it may come out of Cuba as a 45 MPH storm. Of course it will get stronger after that. It's just that I would rather have a 45 MPH storm leaving Cuba rather than a Cat 2.
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