Quote: Dr. Steve (Lyons, TWC) has called twice over the past hour for a course parallel to the NORTH Cuban coast, followed by a left turn, then a sharp recurvature into S.W. or West-Central Fla. Is there any basis for this reasoning? (He didn't offer any, except to point out the dry air slot between N.E. Cuba and the Bahamas.)
Yes there is. He explained it pretty well. In his opinion he believes the dry air is what is weakening the storm right now as well as the partial land interaction. And that the upper level flow is what is pulling it more northerly right now.
-------------------- Andrew 1992, Irene 1999, Katrina 2005, Wilma 2005
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