I pretty much know they are far from over. They've been ongoing for days now, after all. It'll be interesting to see what (if any) changes are made to the official forecast in the next advisory package, since the models appear now to be shifting back to the west a bit (big surprise!). I think the cone will probably shift, and the line a bit, but not much. Only the UKMET (still old run) and the LBAR (new run) models are east of the NHC 5am ET forecast now. Gut feeling says they should shift to Apalachicola with the 10am track, but we'll see.
Looking at the 1345z visible image, it appears that Ernesto has jumped a bit to the west, to me anyway.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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