We're getting into the time of year when the west coast of FL becomes vunerable to Hurricane strikes as cold fronts sweep deeper into the country as fall approaches. I think the NHC does a good job of forecasting the general direction of the storm and general landfall area but I still think a lot of people get hung up on the center line. If you look at the cone of error it encompasses for the most part all of the major computer models which by now have had several model runs with fairly small deviation in forecast track( maybe not in terms of miles, but in terms of angle which makes a huge difference as to where the storm will strike) Anyone from the Western FL panhandle to the keys is potentially at risk, but once again only time will tell. We will have a much better picture of what ernesto is going to do when he emerges off the coast of Cuba into the FL straits/Gulf of Mexico.
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