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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

JMII
Weather Guru

Reged: Thu
Posts: 157
Loc: Margate, Florida

Re: First shot
Sun Aug 27 2006 10:51 PM

The ULL moving from the Bahamas west towards FL is something I have not heard mentioned in regards to the future track/effect on Ernesto, so I hope someone with more knowledge then me can chime in on this aspect. All the clouds over FL are moving due west... and upon further investiation (using the Atlantic water vapor loop - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html ) it looks like a high pressure area is sitting over GA which would cause Ernesto to be pushed back to west before reaching the FL Keys. Am I to assume that this high is forecast to move east thus clearly the way for Ernesto to move N into S FL? Can someone confirm that as well?

I must say while COC looks very weak the outflow is extremely impressive. Maybe this is why the NHC keeps saying it's going to return to hurricane status despite the fact that its lost most of it's core energy. Both the mountains of Haiti and the some shear has done alot of damage but given the huge upper level outflow I see it sure has the makings of something nasty down the road.

--------------------
South FL Native... experienced:
David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	MikeC	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:51 PM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:50 AM
Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:59 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:09 AM
Water Vapor Loop	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:24 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:54 AM
Re: Upper Low	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:09 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	anon tiger	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:07 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	MikenHoliday	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:01 AM
Re: anything else?	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:59 AM
Re: anything else?	BillyG60	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:06 AM
Re: anything else?	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:02 AM
Re: anything else?	JOC	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:04 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	mommy21	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:10 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:16 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:34 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:37 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:49 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Wxwatcher2	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:52 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:11 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:34 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	hornedcow	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:36 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:15 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:59 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:08 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	hornedcow	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:21 AM
Re:Time stamps	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:24 AM
Bush's Press Conf.	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:30 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:34 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	JustMe	Mon Aug 28 2006 06:30 AM
Ernesto....	nicolew	Mon Aug 28 2006 06:51 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:47 AM
Re: Ernesto....	engicedave	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:04 AM
Re: Ernesto....	flranger	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:17 AM
Re: Ernesto....	engicedave	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:25 AM
Re: Ernesto....	MikeC	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:29 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:50 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:59 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Hugh	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:03 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:14 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:21 AM
Re: Ernesto....	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:19 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:22 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:38 AM
Re: Ernesto....	meto23	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:32 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Wxwatcher2	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:39 AM
Re: Ernesto....	MadDog	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:40 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:56 AM
Re: Ernesto....	sara33	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:00 AM
Re: Ernesto....	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:14 AM
Re: Ernesto....	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:18 AM
Re: Ernesto....	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:09 AM
Re: Ernesto....	The Bear	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:55 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:58 AM
Re: Ernesto....	hawg92	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:15 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:04 AM
Re: Ernesto....	hawg92	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:32 AM
Re: Ernesto....	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:33 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:22 AM
Re: Ernesto....	chase 22	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:29 AM
over cuba	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:37 AM
Re: over cuba	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:00 AM
Re: over cuba	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:03 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:27 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:31 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:50 AM
Re: Ernesto....	vineyardsaker	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:58 AM
Re: Ernesto....	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:42 AM
Re: Ernesto and History	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:48 AM
Re: Ernesto....	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:33 AM
Re: Ernesto....	The Bear	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:30 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:49 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:45 AM
water vapor shows high possibly eroding..	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:50 AM
Re: Future storm?	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:36 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:11 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Ernesto....	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Beach	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:43 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:52 AM
Re: Ernesto....	leetdan	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:39 AM
Re: Ernesto....	RockledgeRick	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:44 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:54 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:28 AM
Ernesto & FL East Coast Track?	berrywr	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:47 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	NeilT	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:12 PM
First shot	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:45 PM
Re: First shot	dredlox	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:25 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:29 PM
Re: JETSTREAM	dhsfireman	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:35 PM
Re: First shot	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:34 PM
Re: First shot	JMII	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:51 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:59 PM
Re: First shot	MikeC	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:03 AM
Re: First shot	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:19 AM
Re: First shot	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:14 AM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:19 AM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:40 PM
Re: First shot	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:53 PM
Re: First shot	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:59 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:48 PM
Re: First shot	JMII	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:51 PM
Re: First shot	RevUp	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:54 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:57 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:04 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:11 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:19 PM
nasa's reaction	clueless	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:09 PM
Re: nasa's reaction	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:19 PM
Re: First shot	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:08 PM
Model Shifts	Colleen A.	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:48 PM
Re: Model Shifts	inHISgrip	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:58 PM
Re: Model Shifts	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:09 AM
Re: Model Shifts	HurryCaneForm	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:21 AM
this is rich	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:47 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:00 AM
Re: this is rich	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:04 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:09 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:13 AM
Re: this is rich	hurricaneguy	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:23 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:23 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:34 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:39 AM
Re: this is rich	JustMe	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:46 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:10 AM
Re: this is rich	WeatherNLU	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:14 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:19 AM
Satellites	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:31 AM
Re: Satellites	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:40 AM
Models	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:46 AM
Re: Models	WeatherNLU	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:53 AM
Re: Models	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:00 AM
Re: Models	cieldumort	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:26 AM
Re: Models	hurricaneguy	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:38 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 04:33 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:02 PM
re: ULL pulling it..	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:14 AM
Re: Models	tornado00	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:07 AM
Re: Models	Susan in Jupiter, FL	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:21 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:29 AM
Re: Models	tornado00	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:48 AM
Re: Models	SebastianLou	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:22 AM
Re: Models	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:29 AM
Re: Models	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:28 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:17 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:45 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:12 AM
Re: Model Shifts	hurricaneguy	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:53 PM
Update	danielw	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:02 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:37 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Colleen A.	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:00 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	allan	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:27 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:42 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	chase 22	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:42 PM

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