Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995

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"Ernesto can spin up just as fast as it spun down."

That's a pretty interesting prediction. It seems like you were right, it really lopped off a lot there so far. I was unsure about that, because if you liken it to Charley (another teeny eye, tightly bound cane), Charley sure didnt spiral down at all. That sucker had some horse power, it trucked over land and when it bounced into me (who heh, evacuated from Tampa to about 6 miles from the center unluckily) it was very strong still.

Anyways, good call so far on that from several of you. I hadnt heard that before.

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That's pretty characteristic of smaller systems. Larger systems, while much more resilent to shear take time to get going and time to wind down. Smaller systems can be very robust in the way they respond to adverse conditions. But because larger systems have more potential energy, they can blow up to monsters FAST, also-Rita was good example of that, but was over a lot of warm open water. Smaller canes, like Charley was pack a powerful punch at the eyewall,but less in outer energy. I didn't evac Tampa for Charley. Saw that one coming, but with fingers crossed.

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Amateur Weather Prognosticator and Cane Junkie.
www.hurricanewx.net

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