just finally got the guantanamo radar to load finally. looks bad, that ernesto. get the impression from the radar echoes that the center isn't stacked very well. last few IR 2 frames i looked at have some exposed low cloud lines south of the burst at the center (looks like, anyway...), which make it look like the low level center is in the wrong place, or there's an extra.. or it's just really disorganized. i wouldn't be surprised if it reforms, or crosses eastern cuba and gets north of the island by later tomorrow. if it doesn't... wow, could weaken quite a bit. also wouldn't be surprised if the next recon can establish a weaker system than advertised on the 11 pm advisory. 00z models soon. HF 0334z28august
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