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Archives >> 2006 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User

Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC

Re: Satellites
Mon Aug 28 2006 02:40 AM

goshsakes, drop the hurricane warnings for haiti and southeast cuba. the previous evening recon pass barely found any gale force winds either.
ernesto is stuck over a narrow strait with hispaniola disrupting its inflow (and it's offcenter anticyclone causing much of the convection to fire east over the island), a small, misaligned core, and has an unexpected and nagging upper shear axis cutting across it from another upper vortmax that wouldn't have been an issue had it stayed near jamaica. ernesto will probably weaken and reform on the north coast of cuba, or barely come off as anything if it stays over land for a day or so. however, basic synoptic setup favors it to restrengthen in spite of everything when it gets a little distance from land (and also when it can feed off the convergence from that strong easterly fetch just north of haiti).
we're probably going to hear a bunch of people saying 'it's dead' or 'hispaniola killed it' or 'no more ernesto' when the crowd wakes up tomorrow. i'll just remind everyone again... small core system. it can spin up in a hurry, and the essential factors that have let it develop so far aren't very much changed, just it's relationship to landmasses. that will change, and during the next couple of days shear should again drop to favorable levels.
HF 0639z28august

Edited by HanKFranK (Mon Aug 28 2006 02:40 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	MikeC	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:40 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:50 AM
Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:59 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:09 AM
Water Vapor Loop	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:24 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:54 AM
Re: Upper Low	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:09 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	anon tiger	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:07 AM
Re: Water Vapor Loop	MikenHoliday	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:01 AM
Re: anything else?	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:59 AM
Re: anything else?	BillyG60	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:06 AM
Re: anything else?	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:02 AM
Re: anything else?	JOC	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:04 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	mommy21	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:10 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:16 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:34 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:37 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:49 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	Wxwatcher2	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:52 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	JMII	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:11 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:15 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 11:34 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	hornedcow	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:36 AM
Re: Governer Bush to Hold Press Conference @ 10:00am	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:15 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:59 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:08 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	hornedcow	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:21 AM
Re:Time stamps	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:24 AM
Bush's Press Conf.	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:30 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:34 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	JustMe	Mon Aug 28 2006 06:30 AM
Ernesto....	nicolew	Mon Aug 28 2006 06:51 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:47 AM
Re: Ernesto....	engicedave	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:04 AM
Re: Ernesto....	flranger	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:17 AM
Re: Ernesto....	engicedave	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:25 AM
Re: Ernesto....	MikeC	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:29 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:50 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:59 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Hugh	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:03 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:14 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:21 AM
Re: Ernesto....	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:19 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:22 AM
Re: Ernesto....	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:38 AM
Re: Ernesto....	meto23	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:32 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Wxwatcher2	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:39 AM
Re: Ernesto....	MadDog	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:40 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:56 AM
Re: Ernesto....	sara33	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:00 AM
Re: Ernesto....	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:14 AM
Re: Ernesto....	LisaC	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:18 AM
Re: Ernesto....	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:09 AM
Re: Ernesto....	The Bear	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:55 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:58 AM
Re: Ernesto....	hawg92	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:15 AM
Re: Ernesto....	madmumbler	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:04 AM
Re: Ernesto....	hawg92	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:32 AM
Re: Ernesto....	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:33 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:22 AM
Re: Ernesto....	chase 22	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:29 AM
over cuba	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:37 AM
Re: over cuba	amonty	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:00 AM
Re: over cuba	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:03 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:27 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:31 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:50 AM
Re: Ernesto....	vineyardsaker	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:58 AM
Re: Ernesto....	tpratch	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:42 AM
Re: Ernesto and History	MapMaster	Mon Aug 28 2006 10:20 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:48 AM
Re: Ernesto....	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:33 AM
Re: Ernesto....	The Bear	Mon Aug 28 2006 09:30 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Lake Toho - Kissimmee	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:49 AM
Re: Ernesto....	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:45 AM
water vapor shows high possibly eroding..	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:50 AM
Re: Future storm?	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:36 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:11 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:57 AM
Re: Ernesto....	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Beach	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:43 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:46 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:52 AM
Re: Ernesto....	leetdan	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:39 AM
Re: Ernesto....	RockledgeRick	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:44 AM
Re: Ernesto....	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:54 AM
Re: Ernesto....	charlottefl	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:28 AM
Ernesto & FL East Coast Track?	berrywr	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:47 AM
Re: What's up with Tropical Storm Ernesto?	NeilT	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:12 PM
First shot	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:45 PM
Re: First shot	dredlox	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:25 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:29 PM
Re: JETSTREAM	dhsfireman	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:35 PM
Re: First shot	HanKFranK	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:34 PM
Re: First shot	JMII	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:51 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:59 PM
Re: First shot	MikeC	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:03 AM
Re: First shot	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:19 AM
Re: First shot	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:14 AM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:19 AM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:40 PM
Re: First shot	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:53 PM
Re: First shot	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:59 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:48 PM
Re: First shot	JMII	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:51 PM
Re: First shot	RevUp	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:54 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:57 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:04 PM
Re: First shot	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:11 PM
Re: First shot	TampaRand	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:19 PM
nasa's reaction	clueless	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:09 PM
Re: nasa's reaction	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:19 PM
Re: First shot	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:08 PM
Model Shifts	Colleen A.	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:48 PM
Re: Model Shifts	inHISgrip	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:58 PM
Re: Model Shifts	Colleen A.	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:09 AM
Re: Model Shifts	HurryCaneForm	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:21 AM
this is rich	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:47 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:00 AM
Re: this is rich	inHISgrip	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:04 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:09 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:13 AM
Re: this is rich	hurricaneguy	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:23 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:23 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:34 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:39 AM
Re: this is rich	JustMe	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:46 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:10 AM
Re: this is rich	WeatherNLU	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:14 AM
Re: this is rich	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:19 AM
Satellites	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:31 AM
Re: Satellites	HanKFranK	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:40 AM
Models	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:46 AM
Re: Models	WeatherNLU	Mon Aug 28 2006 02:53 AM
Re: Models	danielw	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:00 AM
Re: Models	cieldumort	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:26 AM
Re: Models	hurricaneguy	Mon Aug 28 2006 03:38 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 04:33 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 12:02 PM
re: ULL pulling it..	LoisCane	Mon Aug 28 2006 08:14 AM
Re: Models	tornado00	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:07 AM
Re: Models	Susan in Jupiter, FL	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:21 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:29 AM
Re: Models	tornado00	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:48 AM
Re: Models	SebastianLou	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:22 AM
Re: Models	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:29 AM
Re: Models	Rasvar	Mon Aug 28 2006 07:28 AM
Re: Models	Ned	Mon Aug 28 2006 05:17 AM
Re: this is rich	nc_tropical_wx79	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:45 AM
Re: this is rich	Josh Delsman	Mon Aug 28 2006 01:12 AM
Re: Model Shifts	hurricaneguy	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:53 PM
Update	danielw	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:02 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Josh Delsman	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:37 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Colleen A.	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:00 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	allan	Sun Aug 27 2006 11:27 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	Rasvar	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:42 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	chase 22	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:48 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Ernesto West of Hati	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Aug 27 2006 10:42 PM

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