Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center : Hurricanes Without the Hype since 1995
2013 Season expected to be a busy one, 2725 days and counting since a Florida Hurricane Landfall.
2013 Season expected to be a busy one, 2725 days and counting since a Florida Hurricane Landfall.
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That said - It is looking somewhat plausible to me that Ernesto may get nudged farther west/southwest - as some models have recently suggested, but perhaps even a little bit more - I have been watching that incoming fist of dry air to his north. Here's a kicker - I suspect that unlike Chris, who was north of the islands, Ernesto is *possibly* south-enough of the islands to not be as impacted (should this indeed play out) that he may not have the triple-whammy of dry air + shear + land. In fact, he may simply get nudged over some warmer waters and farther from land -- this is not the official forecast, of course, and just one possibility as I see it. Ernesto is such a devil to forecast - lots of variables - and I do not submit that I am at all 100% bought in to this - just that it looks much more possible now than just 24 hours ago.
