Since 11PM the track shifted N and E - unreal! This is a real tough call - putting up the panels for TS or weak Cat 1 is a waste of time (dangerous mission on my two story home), but I'm in the dead center of the forecast cone now in central N Broward so it's clear we are going to get all Ernesto has to offer... whatever that might be.
Once again the jump over Cuba is critial since at that point the storm could be ripped apart and never recover, OR it could slide N of Cuba and ramp up to Cat 2 levels. Outflow is not as impressive this AM, but there is a large area of clouds trying to wrap around from the NE. According to the water vapor loop a bunch of dry air just got pushed out of the way but the ULL sitting off the coast of FL thus clearing the way for Ernesto.
I really hate these little weak storms as they are difficult to track and tend to jump all over the place. I'm now offically getting worried.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05)
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 31861
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center