Since 11PM the track shifted N and E - unreal! This is a real tough call - putting up the panels for TS or weak Cat 1 is a waste of time (dangerous mission on my two story home), but I'm in the dead center of the forecast cone now in central N Broward so it's clear we are going to get all Ernesto has to offer... whatever that might be.
Once again the jump over Cuba is critial since at that point the storm could be ripped apart and never recover, OR it could slide N of Cuba and ramp up to Cat 2 levels. Outflow is not as impressive this AM, but there is a large area of clouds trying to wrap around from the NE. According to the water vapor loop a bunch of dry air just got pushed out of the way but the ULL sitting off the coast of FL thus clearing the way for Ernesto.
I really hate these little weak storms as they are difficult to track and tend to jump all over the place. I'm now offically getting worried.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05)
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