Notice 2 things: a) the area to the North and East looks to be shoving Ernesto a tiny bit to the west. You can also see that the outflow appears to be enlarging and the t-storm activity looks as though it may be blowing up. b) Look at the dry air retreating to the west in the GOM. It looks as though they are retreating to the NW -- which may or may not be indicative of the general direction Ernesto will take.
It looks to me like Ernesto is getting shoved from the east and pulled by the west...but that's only my opinion.
Kind of looks like it to me too, but we need to see what happens once it clears Cuba. I don't think it's going to ride down Cuba's spine.
11am just out -- even further to the east, IF it makes the curve back to the east like the forecast says.
Anyone on the east coast, I would be shuttering up now.
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
(my 2009 guess - 14/7/5)
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
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