The NHC is reluctant to make a slight west shift in their track....even though they admit it has gone slightly west then the forecast over the last 6 hrs...and that is cause its slightly weaker then they are posting.....All Availble data shows a top wind near 32mph on the coast.... a weaker system will move with the flow out of the ESE compared to SE..and it will be slightly more W in the next model run....but I do expect it to turn NW as the LLF turns NW and NNW near Florida......Im sticking with a landfall from near Marco Island up to Ft Myers......anymore slight drift to the wnw tomorrow will keep the center further offshore and make it a Cat 1 hurricane approaching the Sw coastline....
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