New strong convection firing around the COC which is just about to exit the Cuban coast. The waters to the NW of him get progressively warmer and there is low shear, excellent conditions to intensify. Think the NHC is smart to keep the Hurricane watches in effect, as they can be easily upgraded if they see any rapid intensification taking place, and if Ernesto does not intensify or just slowly, the TS warnings will suffice for the warned areas. Think the NHC is right on the money with their track , but wouldn't be surprised if the track shifted a little further west before landfall. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/vis.jpg
-------------------- Tropical Cyclones: "Mother nature's heat transfer machines"
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 42552
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center