Ernesto has left Cuba, and strengthened a tad as it has entered very warm water, shear conditions will relax and give the storm a chance to strengthen a bit before landfall. It is likely to be a strengthening system as it crosses the middle to upper Keys and nter south Florida, it is forecast to move through the gut middle of the state and exit through the northeastern Florida coast. It still has a small chance to become a hurricane before landfall, it all depends on how quickly it does or does not get organized now that it is over water. Watch this one today for any surprises.
Most likely, however, it will be a mid to high end tropical storm when it makes landfall. After leaving Florida Ernesto has a chance to make a second landfall in the Carolina, possibly as a hurricane there as well.
Therefore, Tropical Storm Warnings are up on the West coast of Florida from Bonita Beach southward, including all the keys, then up on the eastern coastline now to New Smyrna Beach. Also hurricane watches remain up for the east coast of Florida to New Smyrna Beach.
Inland Tropical Storm Warning also exist for most of the inland counties in the middle of Floida.
The track is pretty solid now. What we are watching is the forward speed and the intensity of the system as it makes landfall.
More to come during the day.
Do you know of evacuations or closures for schools, business, shelters, ports, governments, etc? Let everyone know here
Web based Video and Audio Many websites require realplayer for video and audio, you can get real player here or an alternative real media player here (Ie WinXp64)
Jim Williams, from Hurricane City and West Palm Beach, will be doing his live audio show Monday - Wednesday every night as Ernesto approaches on hurricanecity. Listen here He usually starts at 8PM eastern and runs until the 11PM advisory comes out.
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