Quote: Hey...I just looked at the Skeetobite model animation too. I live on St. Pete Beach. Generally, I'm prepared for what I thought this storm would be as of last night -- a run up the East coast or center of state, meaning probably weak trop storm winds and light flooding on my side. I am NOT prepared for a direct hit of a cat 1/2 on my area, coming from the Gulf (which means I have to board up and evac).
In condering what to do next: say those TB models are correct or close to correct. What's the time frame for a strike (meaning how long have I got to decide what I'm doing and do what I'm doing)? And wouldn't there be a stronger likelihood of a stronger storm (strong cat 1 or cat 2) if it gets extra time over the Gulf?
Waiting for the 11 am from NHC, but one of the reasons I come here (and contribute $$ to the site) is I like to get some more views than simply the NHC track...
Don't put a lot of stock into those two models in particular. The major models have not changed substantially, but may as more data comes in from recon and other Global modeling. The only thing that matters is to make your preparations and adjust your plan appropriate to the storm's strength and track from NHC.
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