It's impossible to tell the direction since you can't find the center. I mentioned this type of situation a few days ago. So at this point in time the location of center doesn't really matter, just keep an eye on radar out of Key West as that will tell you were the bad cells/feeder bands are since those will contain the nast "weather" (rain/wind) associated with this storm.
Still looks like Marco Island landfall to me, if you look at the vapor loop teh dry air over FL is pulled north. i expect Erensto will follow that channel with a slight curve. In other words NW then more NNW then finally N as it rounds the tips of southern FL. Of course since (as mentioned above) the center is hard to locate it near impossible to truely figure out with much accuracy. Those of you on the west coast will feel some gusty winds but us the east coast will be getting more winds and plenty of rain.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05)
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