If you look at the visable loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html and turn on the MSPL layer, don't you thing that the storm will pretty much shoot the gap between the two higher pressure boundaries shown ? What would cause it to plow through and area of higher pressure given it's general overall weakness? After watching for a while, there is a MSLP boundar SW of Eneresto that he seems to be rif=ding to the NW. The 1014 boundary to the N is moving East, and the on to the NW is moving SE. If this scenario continues to play out the VIPR model may turn out to be more correct than we thought
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