I have been following what appears to be the center of a very disorganized storm since it first appeared on Key West long-range radar this morning. I see the apparent westward movement of the rain mass in the NW quadrant of the storm, but in following the movement of the apparent center, I don't see a westward component, at least beyond its steady northwest (315) progression. Extrapolating the movement I've seen and assuming no turn of any kind, it looks like Marathon and Florida Bay for landfall. Of course, there will be lots of rain and gusty winds along the lower west coast, and I see some strong bands starting to affect Key West. But without regard to all these other weather systems as factors, just looking at movement of this "so-called" tropical storm (didn't that recon report say Max Flt Level wind 28 kts?), I don't see a westward component that would take it any further west than Chokoloskee/Everglades City. Am I seeing it wrong?
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