This could go into Florida like Cindy went into La. last year, strengthening as it hits. Those type storms could be a little nasty, but nothing dreadful.
It is interesting to watch all the forces at play here. For 7 days now we've seen how shear effects a storm, storm speed, interaction with land, mountains, ULLs, High pressure, etc. Hopefully Ernesto stays interesting and Floridians have prepared for a strong TS or a minimal hurricane.
Overall satellite imagery shows an organizing storm. It is starting to pick up a little forward speed too and is lifting more to the North now. Hopefully it keeps up the forward speed which will limit the time over the water and it will also minimize flooding from the rains.
Watching the large ULL in the GOM interact with the trough is interesting. Will the trough push on through La.? What will happen to the ULL? Just want to learn, answers would be nice.
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