Yes, Tampa Bay mets have been interesting the last day or so. Last night, wfla's Steve Jerve ran the Vipir model -- which showed Ernesto pretty much moving up the Gulf and into Tampa Bay -- and though he usually boasts about, this time he kind of breezed past it, saying "computer models aren't perfect". Channel 10's guy in the noon broadcast also noted that, despite NHC calling it NW, it sure looked like W to him from radar. Then he showed the split spaghetti run (half going up the west coast, half going up the east). Yesterday, I thought this one wasn't ours -- now I'm not so sure.
Say Ernesto keeps going west -- west enough to begin to enter GOM. What forces will turn it back to the north, and back again to the east, so it would strike Florida gulf coast?
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