it looks on radar like the center is reorganizing, maybe wnw or nw of it's earlier position.. just sort of a jump, as the center lacks the tightness and organization that lead to rapid strengthening. in spite of the improved appearance overall the pressure has actually risen 1mb today. it had almost cleared cuba yesterday afternoon before turning wnw, and that jaunt has prevented ernesto from being nearly the threat it could have been. track looks like it will come across the keys this evening near marathon, into the florida bay/cape sable area turning north around midnight. i'm guessing the intensity will be 45-50kt, pressure around 1002 mb. probably look about like it does now tomorrow night when it comes back off the ne coast of florida, and maybe just a tad stronger than the florida landfall on the SC coast. that's the official forecast, and i can't think of a better one. HF 1817z29august
not marathon... what is that town on key largo... islamorada? can't recall. but marathon is too far west. -HF
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 64433
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center