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HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
they see it too...
      Tue Aug 29 2006 05:42 PM

the 5:30 TWO is out. interesting that the nhc mentioned the wave/low near 18/43. it finally sprouted some convection this afternoon.. still a broad and mostly dry gyre, but as it gets over progressively warmer water it has some potential if the trend continues. shear profile for now and the future look marginal to fair. starting point for it would be quite high in latitude, so likely no threat to land... troughiness in the central atlantic would likely serve to draw it up early.
the wave near 28w with a nice flare on the itcz is moving westward also. the gfs and some of the other globals keep showing it acting up some, also. tis the season for that sort of thing. if it develops during the workweek then a probable recurver also. if it waits around maybe it can get further west.
closer to home.. hey, we've got a broad-centered, weak tropical storm moving into the keys. not the scariest storm i've seen lately--thus far it's not even challenging alberto for worst storm to hit florida this season. they slapped a hurricane watch up on the coast down state... guess they're taking the baroclinic intensification as a real possibility as it rides up. still leaning on the mostly northward solutions... they keep discounting the northeastward tracks given by some of the globals. those same models have been trending westward--the official looks pretty good for that reason.
the way things look, i don't think ernesto will even cause widespread power outages in florida.. nothing they can't have back up in a day or so. not the sort of thing that 2004 and 2005 got you guys used to.
HF 2142z29august

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ernesto Over Water MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 29 2006 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* SFL   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water dolfinatic   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water lawgator   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water JMII   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water g-50cab   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Genesis   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water sprghill   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water offdalip   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water JMII   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water 7 Deadly Zins   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:42 PM
. * * they see it too... HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:42 PM
. * * Re: they see it too... nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water LaVidaCyclone   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water LaVidaCyclone   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water cieldumort   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water LaVidaCyclone   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water pcola   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water HumbleStormKat   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:13 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water BillD   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water BillD   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Fireform   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Rasvar   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water furkidsmom   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Ginger   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Rasvar   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:59 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Ginger   Tue Aug 29 2006 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Chris Bryant   Tue Aug 29 2006 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water andy1tom   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Gerry   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water pcola   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:53 PM
. * * Tornado Watch WXMAN RICHIE   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Tornado Watch Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water bradentonJas   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water dkblostnottinghamsmoney   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water OU Fan   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Psyber   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:33 PM
. * * Forum Rules RedingtonBeachGuy   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water hofloka   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water hofloka   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Cat 5orBust   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Ronn   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Beavis   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Ronn   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:42 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water doug   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:10 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water bhnole   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water jeangfl   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water doug   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? dingo1   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? TampaRand   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? doug   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? CDMOrlando   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? MikenHoliday   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Justin in Miami   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? hofloka   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Tony Cristaldi   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? dolfinatic   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Tampa101   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? StPeteBill   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:37 PM
. * * getting better organized Justin in Miami   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:44 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:52 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized bhnole   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:09 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Tampa101   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:53 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:05 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Ed G   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:11 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Geoff   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:33 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:52 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Bloodstar   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:04 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:17 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized WPBJohn   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:43 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Shalafi   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:46 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized AdvAutoBob   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:31 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Goosus   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:45 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:15 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized MikenHoliday   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:18 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:22 PM
. * * accuwx track HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:20 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track Todd   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:35 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track JMII   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:47 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track madmumbler   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:03 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:43 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track Ed in Va   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:52 PM
. * * track bradentonJas   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:00 PM
. * * Re: track LoisCane   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:20 PM
. * * Re: track bradentonJas   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:32 PM
. * * Space Shuttle Colleen A.   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:53 PM
. * * Re: track Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:48 PM
. * * Re: track g-50cab   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:53 PM
. * * Re: track Thunderbird12   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:01 PM
. * * Re: track *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:42 PM
. * * Re: track JOC   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:49 PM
. * * Re: track bradentonJas   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:49 PM
. * * Re: track g-50cab   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:06 PM
. * * Re: track Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:36 PM
. * * Re: track bhnole   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:06 PM
. * * Re: track *DELETED* leww   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:12 PM
. * * Re: track Conehead   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:15 PM
. * * In General John C   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:24 PM
. * * Re: track Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:13 PM
. * * Re: track furkidsmom   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:21 PM
. * * Re: track stormtiger   Tue Aug 29 2006 04:12 PM
. * * Re: track AgentB   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:47 PM
. * * Re: track Todd   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:56 PM
. * * Re: track LaVidaCyclone   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:30 PM
. * * Re: track cieldumort   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:16 PM
. * * Re: track madmumbler   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:59 PM
. * * Re: track OU Fan   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:06 PM
. * * Re: track HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:08 PM
. * * Re: track scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 03:12 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track nc_tropical_wx79   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:46 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track SC Bill   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:25 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:24 PM
. * * Re: accuwx track LisaC   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:29 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized MikenHoliday   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:36 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized 7 Deadly Zins   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:43 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Reaper   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:50 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:46 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:39 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized CDMOrlando   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:45 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized stormtiger   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:19 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized charlottefl   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:28 PM
. * * Tracking a little West? lawgator   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:35 PM
. * * Re: getting better organized marcoisland   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:03 PM
. * * Direction of movement flarrfan   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement cuidado   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement madmumbler   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement cuidado   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement Geoff   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement Tampa101   Tue Aug 29 2006 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:46 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement Ed in Va   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement dingo1   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement Sheeper   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Direction of movement scottsvb   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:49 PM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? twizted sizter   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? force2005   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? JMII   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? force2005   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? Geoff   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Katrina MapMaster   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Katrina HanKFranK   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Katrina pryord1   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Katrina force2005   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Katrina Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Katrina Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Katrina JoeFL   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Katrina force2005   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Katrina Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Katrina force2005   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Katrina Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Katrina *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* hurricanejunky   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Katrina HurryCaneForm   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Katrina CFL_Wx_Geek   Tue Aug 29 2006 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Katrina AdvAutoBob   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Katrina LisaC   Tue Aug 29 2006 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Katrina hofloka   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? chuck struck lightning survivor   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? chuck struck lightning survivor   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Models for Tampa Bay? madmumbler   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water tpratch   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water MapMaster   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water engicedave   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Londovir   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:19 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Ginger   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water pryord1   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Blob off panhandle MapMaster   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Blob off panhandle Ginger   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Blob off panhandle AgentB   Tue Aug 29 2006 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Jamiewx   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water pryord1   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water BillD   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:28 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water TampaRand   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:46 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water WeatherNLU   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water hemster   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:35 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water TurboTech   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Kal   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:50 AM
. * * Upper Levels danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water pcola   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water bradentonJas   Tue Aug 29 2006 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water GuppieGrouper   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:34 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water engicedave   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:40 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water engicedave   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:34 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 29 2006 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water engicedave   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water amonty   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:25 AM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Water D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Tue Aug 29 2006 08:14 AM

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