tropical systems are rated on winds, not pressure. that's how katrina crossed the mississippi delta with a 920mb central pressure and was a category 3. the center is passing the yeehaw junction area right now, out where the turnpike and 441 cross. starting to yaw a little more to the east. pressure at vero, 25 miles away or so, is 1003 mb.. implies lower at the center. the earlier central pressure at 1003 was estimated, as reporting stations are scarce in the glades/okeechobee region. interesting too that vero recently reported a gust just to gale force. we'll have the center track over or very near the weather stations at melbourne, patrick afb, cape canaveral, and titusville... so plenty of data from near the center. be interesting if it starts falling prior to the storm moving off. awful lot of heavy rain on those bands west of the center... should be a very wet evening in the orlando area. extrapolation puts the center just west of melbourne at 8 pm, and over the kennedy space center around 9-9:30... then out into the atlantic. the official forecast implies a landfall near georgetown sc as a 50 mph tropical storm. i like the location ok, but would bet on something more like 60-70 mph. HF 2056z30august
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