Daniel looks like you were right about the front shoving Ernesto to the right. This from NWS site:
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-100-101-SCZ034-046-310745-
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 1139 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006
...ERNESTO RE-GAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
...NEW INFORMATION... THIS STATEMENT UPGRADES ERNESTO BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM AND UPDATES THE CURRENT POSITION OF ERNESTO...MOVING THE CENTER A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST BRINGING THE CENTER INTO GEORGETOWN SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH THURSDAY EVENING. IT ALSO INCREASES THE COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS TO 3 TO 5 FEET. RAINFALL IS INCREASED ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA TO FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS.
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