Sorry reaper, probably a better place for your post in "The Tropics Today" forum. Ernesto only stuff here.
I'm not suprised that ernie has gone more east than expected...he seemed hellbent on getting back to the ocean after a quick little stay over florida. I can only surmise that the extra hot water/ground in that part of florida much have kept him in pretty good shape for his reorganization now that he's out to sea. Even when he was completely over land, you could see him pulling in moisture from the GOM/atlantic so he really hasn't gone through the instant dryout of what he would have if he had going through LA MS or AL.
I'd like to cheer for more east movement but I know the more he stays out over the water, the stronger he's going to get...SST's are certainly warm enough to strengthen him. My easterly prayer comes from not wanting to get his remnants that look to be coming towards the great lakes basin sometime this weekend while i'm camping.
He has certainly gone through quite a strengthening faze and unless he starts encountering some stiff competition, we very well might be looking at a weak CAT1 hitting between myrtle beach and Wilmington.
-------------------- Leave it to Accuweather to take the accuracy out of weather.
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