Quote: I am very surprised that the Hurricane Warning flag was not rasied at 2:00 for some are of the Hurrcane Watch area. The 2:00 PM advisory was very conflicting in its information. Most news outlets are reporting 70MPH winds. If this is what is the truth, I seems possible, if not probable, that Ernesto will be at hurricane force on landfall. Not that four miles per hour is a major jump, you do have people who ignore Tropical Storm warnings.
At 70mph/993 there is definately room for ernesto to reach H1 without much work at all. I can only surmise that they think that he's still too disorganized to really spin up. Still, surprising they're being conservative on this given the SST's he's over/very little amount of sheer.
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