the 98L disturbance southwest of td 6... it's staying put and still has convection generating nearby. i'm wondering if it's going to have a sort of fujiwhara-slingshot effect on td 6 and have it pivot around and ahead to the north. that actually looks like some of what recent gfs runs were showing. naturally i'd think that two disturbances that close to each other would cannibalize, but if td 6 gets slung north into stronger shear and weakens.. and also gets into the faster flow.. it could actually go around 98L and leave it. with the other disturbance closing from the east i'm not sure if all this could play out. it's just one possibility, and would represent a chance for 98L to develop as well. td 6 could also die in the projected shear and leave 98L to become the dominant feature. either way there should be a hurricane coming out east/northeast of the islands by later next week. the disturbance to the rear may well get a dvorak rating/invest put on it in the next day or two. it isn't getting TWO mentions yet, but that should be forthcoming. in the western part of the atlantic there doesn't appear to be anything doing. 99L is opened up and moving quickly in a sheared environment, and appears to be traveling down the long axis of the upper jet max rather than across it, so it'll probably just continue west and never develop. there's always a chance something will try to pop up in the leavings behind ernesto near the bahamas, but none of the globals show such a thing. the first week of september is high noon for the eastern atlantic to be producing, and that appears to be the way of things right now. HF 0037z04september
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 45935
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center